Stocks, bond yields fall sharply as growth worries spread
Wall Street was roiled Friday by new signs that global economic growth is slowing. The jitters triggered a sell-off in stocks and sent bond yields sharply lower, flashing a possible recession warning.
The wave of selling knocked 460 points off the Dow Jones Industrial Average and gave the benchmark S&P 500 index its worst day since Jan. 3. The Russell 2000 index of smaller company stocks fell more than the rest of the market as traders offloaded riskier assets.
Worried investors shifted money into bonds, which sent yields much lower. The yield on the 10-year Treasury dropped to 2.43 percent from 2.54 percent late Thursday, a big move.
The slide in bond yields hurt bank stocks which, along with technology companies, accounted for much of the broad decline in stocks. The utilities sector was the only one to eke out a gain.
“What’s really giving investors concern today is this weak global economic data here in the U.S. and in Europe,” said Jeff Kravetz, regional investment director for U.S. Bank Wealth Management.
The market’s skid runs counter to what has been a strong start to the year on Wall Street as stocks rebounded from a steep slide at the end of 2018. The bull market for U.S. stocks recently marked its 10th anniversary and is now the longest ever.
The fear that gripped investors Friday was fueled by a steadily dimming outlook for the global economy. China, the world’s second-largest economy after the United States, is weakening. And other economies that depend heavily on purchases in China have suffered as a result.
Factory production in the euro currency alliance has fallen at its steepest rate in about six years. In Germany, Europe’s largest economy, a survey of purchasing manager manufacturers posted its sharpest production drop in nearly six years. Orders to German factories have also tumbled.
In another worrying sign, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell Friday below the yield on the three-month Treasury bill. When that kind of “inversion” in bond yields occurs, economists fear that it can signal a recession within the coming year.
The S&P 500 index dropped 54.17 points, or 1.9 percent, to 2,800.71. The Dow gave up 460.19 points, or 1.8 percent, to 25,502.32.
The Nasdaq composite, which is heavily weighted with technology stocks, slid 196.29 points, or 2.5 percent, to 7,642.67. The Russell 2000 lost 56.49 points, or 3.6 percent, to 1,505.92.
European stocks also finished sharply lower Friday.
Despite wavering from gains to losses throughout the week, the S&P 500 index is still up more than 11 percent so far in 2019, which still counts as a blockbuster start to a year.
Key bond yields fell this week to their lowest levels in more than a year after the Federal Reserve said it was seeing slower growth in the economy and no longer expected to raise interest rates this year.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which is used to set rates on mortgages and many other kinds of loans, is now sharply lower from its recent high of 3.23 percent in early October.
The prospects of slowing global economic growth has motivated investors to rebalance their holdings as they “digest the new reality,” said Marina Severinovsky, investment strategist at Schroeders. “We’re sort of coming back to Earth.”
Central banks have been positioning themselves to deal with the slowdown, she said, and that includes the Federal Reserve’s expectations for no rate increases this year.
Earlier this month the European Central Bank said it would push back the earliest date for interest rate increases. It also said it would offer ultra-cheap loans to banks, supporting their ability to keep lending.
“It’s very positive that, not just the Fed, but other policy makers have acknowledged the situation is kind of dangerous on the global slowdown and are taking action,” Severinovsky said.
The decline in bond yields threatened the profitability of banks because it forces them to charge lower interest rates on loans. Bank of America slid 4.2 percent.
Technology companies, which would stand to lose more than other sectors in a slowing economy, also took heavy losses. Western Digital gave up 6.5 percent.
Boeing dropped 2.8 percent after Indonesia’s flag carrier became the first airline to seek to cancel an order of 737 Max 8 jets, which have been involved in two fatal crashes in the past six months.
Energy futures finished mostly lower. Benchmark U.S. crude oil slid 1.6 percent to settle at $59.04 a barrel. Brent crude fell 1.2 percent to close at $67.03 a barrel.
Wholesale gasoline added 0.3 percent to $1.32 a gallon, heating oil dropped 1.1 percent to $1.97 a gallon and natural gas fell 2.4 percent to $2.75 per 1,000 cubic feet.
Gold gained 0.4 percent to $1,312.30 an ounce, silver lost 0.2 percent to $15.41 an ounce and copper gave up 2.2 percent to $2.84 a pound.
The dollar fell to 110.07 yen from 110.79 Japanese yen on Thursday. The euro weakened to $1.1294 from $1.1354.