Western Conference
1. Oklahoma City
2010-11 finish: 55-27, No. 4 in West.
Coming: Reggie Jackson.
Going: No one of note.
The Thunder was spared from the mad free-agent scramble, returning every key player from last season. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook should help a young roster come of age, with a potential No. 1 seed in the West preceding a deep playoff run. James Harden is poised to continue his development into an upper-echelon guard, and a slimmed-down Kendrick Perkins no longer has to slog up the court.
2. Dallas
2010-11 finish: 57-25, No. 3.
Coming: Lamar Odom, Vince Carter, Delonte West, Brandan Wright.
Going: Tyson Chandler, Jose Barea, Caron Butler, Corey Brewer, Rudy Fernandez.
Chandler and Barea each represent huge losses from the defending NBA champions, but Odom should be an inspired addition and Carter clings to the vestiges of greatness. Oh yeah, and there’s still that Dirk Nowitzki guy. The biggest question might be how long it takes owner Mark Cuban to zing Khloe Kardashian.
3. L.A. Lakers
2010-11 finish: 57-25, No. 2.
Coming: Coach Mike Brown, Josh McRoberts, Troy Murphy, Jason Kapono.
Going: Coach Phil Jackson, Lamar Odom, Shannon Brown.
If it seems the only direction the Lakers can go without their longtime coach and top reserves is down, the fall shouldn’t be a long one. The Lakers still have a core that would make almost every other NBA team envious and a coach who has been to the finals. The health of Kobe Bryant and Andrew Bynum will be critical to the Lakers’ title aspirations.
4. L.A. Clippers
2010-11 finish: 32-50, No. 13.
Coming: Chris Paul, Caron Butler, Chauncey Billups.
Going: Eric Gordon, Chris Kaman, Al Farouq-Aminu, Craig Smith.
Clipper Nation has expanded its borders with the big-ticket acquisition of Paul, the dynamic point guard who wants to lead the woebegone franchise on a deep playoff run alongside Blake Griffin. If everything goes as planned, Los Angeles could go from Lakertown to Lob City. If everything falls apart, the Clippers Curse will remain intact. But for the first time in years, there is enough talent to make the playoffs.
5. Memphis
2010-11 finish: 46-36, No. 8.
Coming: Jeremy Pargo.
Going: Shane Battier.
The good times are rolling in Memphis, where the Grizzlies continue to bask in the afterglow of their magical run to the Western Conference semifinals. The re-signing of center Marc Gasol means the Grizzlies have their core of Gasol, Rudy Gay and Mike Conley locked up in long-term deals. Even once-disgruntled O.J. Mayo appears to have embraced his role as a sixth man.
6. San Antonio
2010-11 finish: 61-21, No. 1.
Coming: T.J. Ford, Kawhi Leonard.
Going: George Hill.
Those David Gilmour lyrics about thinking you’re getting older and wiser when you’re just getting old may apply to the Spurs, whose projected starting lineup has an average age of 31. How do you think the starters’ legs will feel after one of the dreaded back-to-back-to-backs? It could be the perfect scenario for rookie Leonard to play heavy minutes.
7. Denver
2010-11 finish: 50-32, No. 5.
Coming: Corey Brewer, Rudy Fernandez, Andre Miller, Kenneth Faried, Jordan Hamilton.
Going: Raymond Felton, J.R. Smith, Wilson Chandler, Kenyon Martin.
The Nuggets face a serious trade deficit after losing Chandler, Martin and Smith to China until at least March. Nene and rising star Arron Afflalo are back, however, and coach George Karl has a knack for pulling together teams with under-the-radar talent.
8. Portland
2010-11 finish: 48-34, No. 6.
Coming: Jamal Crawford, Craig Smith, Kurt Thomas, Nolan Smith.
Going: Brandon Roy, Andre Miller, Rudy Fernandez.
The Trail Blazers suffered two big losses before their opener with the retirement of Roy and another setback to injury-prone center Greg Oden, whose career is also teetering on the edge. It’s LaMarcus Aldridge’s team now, and the emerging star has a new wingman in Crawford to add some scoring punch off the bench.
9. Phoenix
2010-11 finish: 40-42, No. 10.
Coming: Shannon Brown, Sebastian Telfair, Ronnie Price, Markieff Morris.
Going: Vince Carter, Aaron Brooks.
The Suns appear to be setting quickly, with mainstays Steve Nash, 37, and Grant Hill, 39, closing in on AARP status and a team that finished two games under .500 largely unchanged from last season. Brown will infuse energy and some flashy dunks but isn’t a game-changer.
10. Houston
2010-11 finish: 43-39, No. 9.
Coming: Coach Kevin McHale, Jonny Flynn, Marcus Morris, Samuel Dalembert.
Going: Coach Rick Adelman, Yao Ming, Chuck Hayes, Brad Miller.
The Rockets nearly had Pau Gasol, whom they intended to use in an attempt to lure free agent Nene. Thanks to Commissioner Stern, they have neither. Now they’ll go forward with the tandem of Kevin Martin and Luis Scola, whose egos could be bruised by nearly being cast off as part of the nixed Gasol trade. Not ideal.
11. Golden State
2010-11 finish: 36-46, No. 12.
Coming: Coach Mark Jackson, Kwame Brown, Brandon Rush, Klay Thompson.
Going: Coach Keith Smart, Charlie Bell, Vladimir Radmanovic.
Jackson is preaching defense, but is anyone listening? The team known for scoring in triple digits – and losing – remains largely intact from a season ago, meaning the cavalry isn’t coming to save Monta Ellis, Stephen Curry & Co. In a subplot, former Lakers center Brown gets yet another chance to prove he isn’t one of the league’s all-time flops.
12. New Orleans
2010-11 finish: 46-36, No. 7.
Coming: Eric Gordon, Chris Kaman, Al-Farouq Aminu.
Going: Chris Paul, David West, Tony Allen.
The Hornets hope to emerge as the eventual winners in their blockbuster trade with the Clippers. Unfortunately, even a best-case scenario involves sacrificing this season while waiting for the draft pick they acquired in the deal to turn into a franchise player. In the meantime, having Gordon, Kaman and Aminu makes them the Clippers Lite.
13. Utah
2010-11 finish: 39-43, No. 11.
Coming: Coach Tyrone Corbin, Josh Howard, Enes Kanter, Alec Burks.
Going: Coach Jerry Sloan, Andrei Kirilenko, Ronnie Price.
The last time the Jazz went into a season without Sloan on the sideline, their roster included a young duo by the name of John Stockton and Karl Malone. The year was 1988. Longtime Utah fans must also adjust to life without former All-Star Kirilenko, the 10-year veteran who remains in Russia. Howard will be reunited with point guard Devin Harris in a retooled lineup that doesn’t exactly exude excitement.
14. Sacramento
2010-11 finish: 24-58, No. 14.
Coming: J.J. Hickson, John Salmons, Travis Outlaw, Jimmer Fredette, Tyler Honeycutt.
Going: Omri Casspi, Beno Udrih, Samuel Dalembert.
The Kings have bigger issues than a shaky roster, such as where they will call home a year from now. Anaheim, Calif., remains in play for a franchise that appears to have little direction on or off the court. Hickson and Salmons are nice additions but hardly constitute building blocks for a title, or even a playoff push with this team.
15. Minnesota
2010-11 finish: 17-65, No. 15.
Coming: Coach Rick Adelman, Jose Barea, Brad Miller, Ricky Rubio, Derrick Williams, Malcolm Lee.
Going: Coach Kurt Rambis, Sebastian Telfair.
Kevin Love is still around, so there’s that. The Timberwolves also could drive the Lakers bonkers with the presence of Barea alone. But it’s going to take more than Williams’ upside for this franchise to emerge from its deep freeze. Anything more than 20 wins qualifies as an upset.
Ben Bolch, Los Angeles Times